[Ulasan] The Yield Curve: What Is It Really Predicting? (Edward Yardeni) Ringkasan.

[Ulasan] The Yield Curve: What Is It Really Predicting?  (Edward Yardeni) Ringkasan.
9Natree Indonesia
[Ulasan] The Yield Curve: What Is It Really Predicting? (Edward Yardeni) Ringkasan.

Aug 28 2026 | 00:11:50

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Episode August 28, 2026 00:11:50

Show Notes

The Yield Curve: What Is It Really Predicting? (Edward Yardeni)

- Amazon USA Store: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1948025035?tag=9natree-20
- Amazon Worldwide Store: https://global.buys.trade/The-Yield-Curve%3A-What-Is-It-Really-Predicting%3F-Edward-Yardeni.html

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- Tiktok: https://asia.buys.trade/tiktok_The-Yield-Curve-Edward-Yardeni.html

- Baca selengkapnya: https://indonesia.9natree.com/read/1948025035/

#Inversikurvaimbalhasil #KebijakanmoneterFederalReserve #Sikluskredit #Premijangkawaktuobligasi #GlobalisasipasarTreasury #TheYieldCurve

The Yield Curve: What Is It Really Predicting? adalah studi ringkas tentang pasar obligasi, kebijakan moneter, dan risiko resesi, ditulis oleh ekonom dan strategist pasar Edward Yardeni bersama Melissa Tagg. Buku ini termasuk seri Predicting the Markets Topical Study, dan terbit pada 2019. Titik berangkatnya adalah keyakinan populer bahwa kurva imbal hasil yang terbalik selalu meramalkan resesi. Kurva terbalik terjadi ketika imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah berjangka panjang berada di bawah suku bunga atau imbal hasil berjangka pendek. Yardeni dan Tagg tidak menyangkal bahwa inversi sering muncul sebelum resesi. Namun, mereka menolak penafsiran sebab akibat yang terlalu sederhana. Menurut kerangka buku ini, kurva imbal hasil lebih berguna sebagai cerminan ekspektasi investor terhadap arah kebijakan Federal Reserve, terutama kemungkinan pengetatan lalu pelonggaran suku bunga. Dengan menghubungkan siklus bisnis, siklus kredit, pasar obligasi, dan tindakan bank sentral, buku ini bertujuan memberi pembaca cara yang lebih hati-hati untuk membaca sinyal pasar. Isinya juga dilengkapi pengantar mengenai konsep dasar kurva imbal hasil dan grafik untuk membantu analisis praktis.

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